Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.020374 0.022031 0.023758 0.025694 0.027805 0.030038 0.032582
2025-09-14 0.017527 0.019903 0.022517 0.025609 0.029174 0.033164 0.037979
2025-09-21 0.015530 0.018281 0.021427 0.025303 0.029963 0.035405 0.042270
2025-09-28 0.014261 0.017284 0.020853 0.025397 0.031053 0.037896 0.046854
2025-10-05 0.013164 0.016353 0.020223 0.025289 0.031786 0.039891 0.050847
2025-10-12 0.012350 0.015682 0.019825 0.025386 0.032712 0.042105 0.055182
2025-10-19 0.011652 0.015092 0.019462 0.025466 0.033569 0.044227 0.059468
2025-10-26 0.010977 0.014477 0.019010 0.025370 0.034149 0.045966 0.063295
2025-11-02 0.010422 0.013976 0.018667 0.025378 0.034837 0.047855 0.067402
2025-11-09 0.009788 0.013327 0.018077 0.024995 0.034937 0.048898 0.070323
2025-11-16 0.009185 0.012683 0.017454 0.024518 0.034855 0.049648 0.072825
2025-11-23 0.008736 0.012229 0.017066 0.024345 0.035185 0.050989 0.076256
2025-11-30 0.008294 0.011778 0.016678 0.024180 0.035560 0.052481 0.080121
2025-12-07 0.007895 0.011369 0.016333 0.024059 0.035998 0.054098 0.084302
2025-12-14 0.007481 0.010915 0.015894 0.023768 0.036145 0.055260 0.087814
2025-12-21 0.007203 0.010647 0.015714 0.023855 0.036876 0.057361 0.092973
2025-12-28 0.006897 0.010321 0.015427 0.023754 0.037292 0.058968 0.097393
2026-01-04 0.006662 0.010089 0.015270 0.023844 0.038012 0.061097 0.102824
2026-01-11 0.006438 0.009864 0.015112 0.023919 0.038703 0.063203 0.108337
2026-01-18 0.006193 0.009592 0.014863 0.023829 0.039106 0.064836 0.113103
2026-01-25 0.005984 0.009369 0.014681 0.023836 0.039668 0.066761 0.118507
2026-02-01 0.005712 0.009030 0.014294 0.023479 0.039576 0.067530 0.121814
2026-02-08 0.005438 0.008677 0.013870 0.023034 0.039302 0.067953 0.124480